Publications
Research outputs from the Open Energy Outlook initiative
Selected Publications
Johnson, Jeremiah X., Wade, Cameron, Blackhurst, Michael, DeCarolis, Joseph F., de Queiroz, Anderson R., Posen, I. Daniel, Jaramillo, Paulina. (2026). Power system costs and emissions from data center and cryptocurrency mining expansion in the United States. Environmental Research Letters, 21(11): 114007. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae6c3d
Muller, Nicholas Z., Adams, Peter, Dennin, Luke R., Jaramillo, Paulina, and Jordan, Katie. (2026) “Climate Policy, Air Pollution Impacts, and the Distribution of Income.” Climate Change Economics, , 2640006 https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007826400063
Schivley, Greg, Barone, Aurora, Blackhurst, Michael, Hidalgo-Gonzalez, Patricia, Jenkins, Jesse, Lugovoy, Oleg, Luo, Qian, Roberts, Michael J, Zheng, Rangrang, Wade, Cameron, and Fripp, Matthias. (2025) “Process and policy insights from an intercomparison of open electricity system capacity expansion models.” Environmental Research: Energy 2(4): 045006 https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/ade548
Bistline, John E. T., Binsted, Matthew, Blanford, Geoffrey, Boyd, Gale, Browning, Morgan, Cai, Yongxia, Edmonds, Jae, Fawcett, Allen A., Fuhrman, Jay, Gao, Ruying, Harris, Chioke, Hoehne, Christopher, Iyer, Gokul, Johnson, Jeremiah X., Kaplan, P. Ozge, Loughlin, Dan, Mahajan, Megan, Mai, Trieu, McFarland, James R., McJeon, Haewon, Melaina, Marc, Mousavi, Seyed Shahabeddin, Muratori, Matteo, Orvis, Robbie, Prabhu, Amogh, Rossmann, Charles, Sands, Ronald D., Sarmiento, Luis, Showalter, Sharon, Sinha, Aditya, Starke, Emma, Stewart, Eric, Vaillancourt, Kathleen, Weyant, John, Wood, Frances, and Yuan, Mei. (2025) “Policy implications of net-zero emissions: A multi-model analysis of United States emissions and energy system impacts.” Energy and Climate Change 6:100191 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100191
Blackhurst, Michael, Aranya Venkatesh, Aditya Sinha, Katherine Jordan, Nicholas Z Muller, Cameron Wade, Jeremiah X. Johnson, and Paulina Jaramillo. (2025). “Marginal Abatement Costs for Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States Using an Energy Systems Approach.” Environmental Research: Energy. https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/adb588
Jordan, Katherine H, Jaramillo, Paulina, Karplus, Valerie J, Adams, Peter J, and Muller, Nicholas Z. (2025) “The Role of Hydrogen in Decarbonizing U.S. Iron and Steel Production.” Environmental Science & Technology 59(10): 4915-4925 https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.4c05756?urlappend=%3Fref%3DPDF&jav=VoR&rel=cite-as
Blackhurst, Michael, Venkatesh, Aranya, Sinha, Aditya, Jordan, Katherine, Muller, Nicholas Z, Wade, Cameron, Johnson, Jeremiah X, and Jaramillo, Paulina. (2025) “Marginal abatement costs for greenhouse gas emissions in the United States using an energy systems approach.” Environmental Research: Energy 2(1): 015012 https://doi.org/10.1088/2753-3751/adb588
Sinha, Aditya, Venkatesh, Aranya, Jordan, Katherine, Wade, Cameron, Eshraghi, Hadi, De Queiroz, Anderson R., Jaramillo, Paulina, and Johnson, Jeremiah X. (2024) “Diverse decarbonization pathways under near cost-optimal futures.” Nature Communications 5: 8165. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52433-z
Jordan, Katherine, Peter Adams, Paulina Jaramillo, and Nicholas Muller. (2023). “Closing the Gap: Achieving U.S. Climate Goals beyond the Inflation Reduction Act.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Transition 4: 100065. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rset.2023.100065
Jordan, Katherine H., Luke R. Dennin, Peter J. Adams, Paulina Jaramillo, and Nicholas Z. Muller. (2024). “Climate Policy Reduces Racial Disparities in Air Pollution from Transportation and Power Generation.” Environmental Science & Technology 58 (49): 21510–22. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.4c03719
Schivley, Greg, Michael Blackhurst, Patricia Hidalgo-Gonzalez, Jesse Jenkins, Oleg Lugovoy, Qian Luo, Michael J. Roberts, Rangrang Zheng, Cameron Wade, and Matthias Fripp. (2024). “Process and Policy Insights from Intercomparing Electricity System Capacity Expansion Models.” arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2411.13783
Sinha, Aditya, Aranya Venkatesh, Katherine Jordan, Cameron Wade, Hadi Eshraghi, Anderson R. de Queiroz, Paulina Jaramillo, and Jeremiah X. Johnson. (2024). “Diverse Decarbonization Pathways under Near Cost-Optimal Futures.” Nature Communications 15 (1): 8165. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52433-z
Smillie, Sean, Parth Vaishnav, Cameron Wade, Katherine Jordan, Aranya Venkatesh, Aditya Sinha, and Jay Apt. (2024). “Hybrid Heat Pumps Avoid Extreme Marginal Abatement Costs of Electrifying Peak Heating Loads in Cold Regions.” Environmental Research Letters 19 (9): 094054. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad6c63
DeCarolis, J. F., Jaramillo, P., Johnson, J. X., McCollum, D. L., Trutnevyte, E., Daniels, D. C., et al. (2020). “Leveraging Open-Source Tools for Collaborative Macro-Energy System Modeling Efforts.” Joule 4 (12): 2523–26. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.11.002
Reports
OEO researchers publish annual Open Energy Outlooks that include projections of energy use and emissions under current policies and net-zero emissions scenarios. Each report also covers a salient topic related to decarbonizing the U.S. energy system.